Irish Small-Scale Solar Tracker
Solar photovoltaic systems up to 50 kW on homes, farms and businesses across Ireland
Live Electricity Production
Value of Electricity Generated
Monthly
Annual
| Year | Generation (MWh) | Saved/Earned |
|---|
Uptake of Small-Scale Solar in Ireland
ESBN-Confirmed Quarterly Micro/Mini Generation Additions
ESB Networks figures include all grid-connected systems (including non-grant and commercial installations). For official SEAI residential grant completion statistics, see Solar PV Grant Statistics.
Growth Trend
The table below shows projected cumulative totals at each year-end. The extrapolation is based on the installation rate over the most recent four quarters with available data, projected forward at a constant rate.
| Year | Projected Systems Installed at Year-End | Projected Capacity at Year-End (MW) |
|---|
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| County ▼ | Number of Systems ▼ | Per 1,000 Homes ▼ | 2025 Savings + Export Payments ▼ |
|---|
* County system numbers and financial savings are estimated by applying county SEAI solar PV grant distributions to national ESB Networks connection data. Rates per 1,000 homes use Central Statistics Office (CSO) Census 2022 data
Solar Energy Forecast
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About
General
'Small-scale solar' on this page means smaller solar PV systems (up to 50 kW) installed on homes, farms and businesses. This corresponds to the 'Micro-Generation' (up to 6 kW) and 'Mini-Generation' (6–50 kW) categories in ESB Networks' connection statistics. Not to be confused with the ESB Networks phrase "Small-Scale Generation" which refers to systems between 50 kW and 200 kW in size.
Larger systems like big commercial rooftops and solar farms are not included. ESB Networks' 'Non-Export' category is also excluded.
This dashboard gives estimates about such systems in Ireland (26 counties only).
Data Accuracy
The data shown on this dashboard are estimates and may change as we periodically update data and refine our calculations.
Current Data Sources
Number and capacity of systems installed (from 1st October 2024): ESB Networks generator statistics (Micro- and Mini-Generation categories)
Breakdown by county: SEAI retrofit reports (analyzed in detail in our Solar PV Retrofit Tracker)
Solar radiation forecasts (also used for today's live production estimates): Open Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Solar radiation data (historical monthly totals): Met Éireann
Electricity prices for households: CSO
Solar PV capacity in Ireland pre-2019 (29MW): Energy Ireland
Household solar PV system sizes: National BER Research Tool
Bonus (number of PV systems installed by 2012, not used directly in calculations) Renewable Energy in Ireland 2012 (SEAI)
Current Key Assumptions and Simplifications
Trend in installation sizes extrapolated from BER Assessment data, and then scaled according to ESB Networks data
All panels modeled as horizontal (this is a reasonable approximation for a mixture containing a variety of orientations)
Solar panel productivity assumed to be equal across counties (simplification)
Installation numbers are extrapolated forward based on the latest known installation rate
Installation numbers are assumed to be spread equally across days in each quarterly period
The proportion of installations which are grant-aided is assumed to be the same for all dates prior to 1st October 2024
County-level system and savings figures are estimated by distributing national ESB Networks totals according to each county's share of SEAI solar PV grant completions, normalized by CSO Census 2022 occupied private households
Radiation forecasts timepoints are hourly on the hour. We use linear interpolation for estimates between these times
Electricity value based on the rates paid by large household consumers from CSO data. For years without CSO data available, we estimated these using linear regression with the previous year's wholesale electricity prices as the predictor variable (values with a * in the table below)
| Year | Electricity Value Per MWh |
|---|---|
| 2025 | €235.96* |
| 2024 | €245.57* |
| 2023 | €325.15 |
| 2022 | €252.80 |
| 2021 | €193.70 |
| 2020 | €182.90 |
| 2019 | €180.55 |